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‘Peace in Europe no longer default situation’, warns Czech president Petr Pavel – Europe live | Ukraine
‘Peace in Europe no longer default,’ Czechia’s Pavel says
In a stark warning, Pavel – a retired Nato general – warns that “peace in Europe can no longer be treated as the default state of affairs.”
“It must once again be actively protected, defended and maintained. The lesson of this moment is not that Europe is alone it is that Europe needs to be strong enough to stand on its own when needed.”
He warns that Europe needs to pull all the levers to get itself into the best position, as “history will simply not wait for Europe to become ready.”
“We must act swiftly,” he says.
Key events
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Ukraine must be precise when using drones to avoid helping Russian provocations, Poland’s defence minister says
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Latvia declares possible drone alert for southeastern part of country
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Russia claims Ukraine is seeking escalation after Zelenskyy warns of possible expansion of war by Russia
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Europe needs to learn from Ukraine, move ‘much faster’ to respond to challenges, Pavel says
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‘Peace in Europe no longer default,’ Czechia’s Pavel says
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‘If Ukraine is forced into bad peace, we will all live with consequences for decades,’ Pavel warns
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EU and Nato should align priorities to help Europe step up its defence, Pavel says
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‘No time to lose’ as capabilities, not spending, are key for Europe’s ability to defend itself, Pavel says
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‘Many assumptions for old security architecture are no longer valid,’ Czech president warns
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Morning opening: Dobré ráno from Prague
Ukraine must be precise when using drones to avoid helping Russian provocations, Poland’s defence minister says
For what it’s worth, Poland’s defence minister Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz said this morning Ukraine must be very precise when using drones to avoid Russia interfering with their flight path.
“Ukraine must be more precise here, of course, to avoid giving rise to Russian provocations,” Kosiniak-Kamysz told a news conference in the Estonian capital Tallinn, Reuters reported.
“Our territories … should not be violated, they should not be threatened.”
Earlier this week, Ukraine apologised for individual cases when its drones attacking targets in Russia strayed into the Baltic airspace, blaming Moscow’s “electronic warfare.”
But Nato’s secretary general Mark Rutte laid the blame squarely on Russia, saying bluntly yesterday (Europe Live, Wednesday):
“If drones come from Ukraine, they are not there because Ukraine wanted to send a drone to Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia. They are there because of the reckless, illegal, full-scale attack of Russia, starting in 2022 after, of course, what they did in Crimea in 2014 against Ukraine.”
Latvia declares possible drone alert for southeastern part of country
And just like that, Latvia’s army has just issued a possible drone alert over southeastern part of the country – for the third day in a row.
I will keep an eye on that as there are more questions than answers at this early stage, including the crucial one on where does the it come from and, well, whose is it as we have seen reports of stray Ukrainian drones crossing into the Baltic countries as a result of Russian jamming.
Russia claims Ukraine is seeking escalation after Zelenskyy warns of possible expansion of war by Russia
Just as Pavel was speaking in Prague, Russian foreign ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova told reporters that Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy was pursuing escalation of the conflict between the two countries.
It’s quite a claim given (checks notes) Russia’s continued and relentless invasion of Ukraine for years.
But it fits a pattern of Russia’s increasingly assertive or outright aggressive language towards others in the region – first the Baltics, and Latvia in particular, and now Ukraine.
In fact, Zelenskyy specifically warned last night about the prospect of Russia expanding its aggression, particularly from the direction of Belarus.
“Ukraine will certainly defend itself, and right now our task is to strengthen our state so that none of Russia’s five scenarios for expanding the war through northern Ukraine succeeds,” he said.
Europe needs to learn from Ukraine, move ‘much faster’ to respond to challenges, Pavel says
Pavel also warns against Europe losing out through “bureaucratic obstacles.”
He points to Ukraine’s ability to innovate and live test new solutions, such as drones, within days, going through procurement and production to an accelerated timeline.
“Ukraine has demonstrated not only determination and heroism, but also unbelievable capacity to adjust, to innovate, to change.
It is something that we in Europe have lost through many regulatory measures that are necessary in peacetime, but of course in conflict you have to be … flexible and achieve the results in shortest possible time. …
I visited Ukraine a number of times, and also companies producing drones. They are producing them in a vast variety of versions, sending them straight to the frontline, testing in days, and having feedback in companies again in days. So the pace goes well beyond what we can achieve in peacetime. …
If we want to succeed in any potential future conflict, we have to have the procedures that will be much faster than that we have today, because otherwise we will be losing the conflict on bureaucratic obstacles.”
He compares it to Europe “having all the ingredients for a great meal, but we still don’t have a recipe.”
And that ends his session.
In a short Q&A, Pavel gets asked about the role of AI and technology more broadly.
He says it is “beyond any doubt that technology will be the weapon of the future,” as he points out to Russia’s Putin and China’s Xi focusing on this issue during their talks in China this week.
“I think we have to take it seriously, because mainly China is our is doing tremendous progress in this, and experience from both Ukraine and the Middle East shows that technological superiority can be a true game changer.”
‘Peace in Europe no longer default,’ Czechia’s Pavel says
In a stark warning, Pavel – a retired Nato general – warns that “peace in Europe can no longer be treated as the default state of affairs.”
“It must once again be actively protected, defended and maintained. The lesson of this moment is not that Europe is alone it is that Europe needs to be strong enough to stand on its own when needed.”
He warns that Europe needs to pull all the levers to get itself into the best position, as “history will simply not wait for Europe to become ready.”
“We must act swiftly,” he says.
‘If Ukraine is forced into bad peace, we will all live with consequences for decades,’ Pavel warns
Pavel turns to Ukraine, stressing that “supporting Ukraine is not a charity,” but “a direct investment in Europe’s own security.”
“If Ukraine is forced into a bad peace, we all will live with the consequences for decades,” he warns.
EU and Nato should align priorities to help Europe step up its defence, Pavel says
Pavel also stresses the need to bring the EU and Nato closer, as Brussels “has instruments that Nato does not have: funding, infrastructure, and industrial policies” that can work as policy tools to help with defence preparations.
“I am convinced that these two sets of instruments should be connected. Nato and European Union are not competitors in European security. They should function as complementary pillars.”
He gives a specific example of Nato working with the EU to modernise “routes, ports, bridges and airfields” that are critical for moving forces across Europe.
“The task is to make sure that the two plans overlap; that Nato’s military requirements guide EU investments, and the EU investments strengthen Nato deterrence.”
He pointedly says that such plans should include Canada, Norway, and the UK, as “indispensable European security actors.”
‘No time to lose’ as capabilities, not spending, are key for Europe’s ability to defend itself, Pavel says
Pavel says that Europe “has already made significant progress in defence spending,” but warns that “credible defence is not built on spending levels alone.”
“We need to work hard to strengthen our strategic enablers and close critical gaps in areas such as strategic airlift, air and missile defence, intelligence, logistics, or military mobility. There is no time to lose.”
‘Many assumptions for old security architecture are no longer valid,’ Czech president warns
Pavel begins by saying that his repeated warnings that Europe needs to focus on its political will, industrial capacity and technological capacity “remain fully valid; if anything, it has become even more urgent today.”
He says it is clear that Europe “must assume greater responsibility for our own defence, not because we are told so by Washington, but because it is in our own strategic and vital interest.”
He says that as “debates about the future scale of America’s conventional military presence in Europe are becoming more pronounced, Europe must be prepared for this reality.”
“This doesn’t mean that Europe should turn away from the United States – just the opposite. Nato remains the foundation of our collective defence, and the transatlantic bond remains essential for our own security – but we must be honest [that] many assumptions supporting the old security architecture are no longer valid.”
The Globsec Forum in Prague is now under way.
Czechia’s Pavel is on stage for his opening address.
I will bring you the key lines.
Morning opening: Dobré ráno from Prague

Jakub Krupa
in Prague
Dobré ráno, or good morning from Prague.
Over 2,000 state officials, foreign policy and security experts from Europe and beyond are meeting in the Czech capital for the GLOBSEC Forum 2026. And there is no shortage of issues to cover.
From the latest drone incidents in the Baltics to broader security situation in Ukraine and Europe – and this part of Europe in particular – to broader global questions on energy, geopolitics, AI, and the state of the transatlantic alliance, there will be plenty of things to cover.
We will hear from the Czech president, Petr Pavel, the European Commission’s vice-president, Henna Virkunen, and the former Nato secretary general, Anders Fogh Rasmussen, among others just as Nato’s foreign ministers gather in Sweden for their ministerial meeting today and tomorrow.
Last night, Pavel warned that Russia will continue to be Europe’s main security threat for decades, as the continent wakes up from being overreliant on US protection and needs to radically bolster its own defence as a new global order of competing superpowers takes shape.
I will bring you all the key lines here.
Elsewhere, I will bring you the latest on Ukraine, the said drone incidents in the Baltics, and all other relevant news from across the continent.
It’s Thursday, 21 May 2026, it’s Jakub Krupa here, and this is Europe Live.
Good morning.
UK News
Trump-backed Ken Paxton ousts John Cornyn in heated Texas primary after scandal-plagued campaign | Texas
Ken Paxton, the Donald Trump-backed Texas attorney general, triumphed over incumbent John Cornyn in the Republican primary runoff for senator. His victory signals that even a scandal-plagued candidate can win over the deep red state with the support of the president.
“After a public service career lasting more than four decades and 18 consecutive campaign wins, tonight we’ve come up short in this primary runoff,” Cornyn said shortly after the race was called. “I’ve always supported the GOP ticket. I intend to do so again this general election.”
The race had wide implications for Trump’s strength heading into November’s midterm elections, where Paxton will now face James Talarico, a Democratic pastor and state legislator whose message of peace and populism has attracted much attention. If he wins, Talarico would become the first Democrat in more than 30 years to win statewide office in Texas.
Midterm elections often serve as a referendum on the sitting president and tend to help the opposing party. This year Democrats are favored to win the House of Representatives, though a supreme court decision that decimated the Voting Rights Act could allow for more Republican-leaning districts and complicate the picture. The race for Senate remains in flux, though candidatessuch as Talarico, Graham Platner in Maine, as well as purple states such as Ohio and Michigan, could upset the Republican lead.
Texas, which Trump won in 2024 by a gaping 14 percentage points in 2024, remains a conservative state, and the Republican primary was a testament to hot button issues – from religion to economy – that animate the base.
First elected state attorney general in 2014, Paxton sought to position himself as a national leader on the far right, launching some of the first criminal investigations in the US over abortion bans and gender-affirming care for transgender youth. He also led a lawsuit attempting to overturn Trump’s loss to Joe Biden in 2020, an effort the US supreme court rejected.
Brandon Rottinghaus, a political science professor at the University of Houston, said: “Paxton was Donald Trump before Donald Trump was. He was in the vanguard of the Tea Party movement, which was a major spur for the Maga movement nationally.”
But Paxton comes with significant political baggage, and national Republicans worry they will have to spend significantly more with him as the nominee. Paxton was impeached in 2023 after being accused of corruption, and reported to the FBI. He was later acquitted in a trial in the Texas senate, where his wife was a state senator but not allowed to cast a vote.
Paxton was also indicted on charges of felony securities fraud that could have led to a prison sentence, but the case was dismissed after a 2024 pre-trial diversion agreement. And last year his wife of 38 years, Angela Paxton, filed for divorce “on biblical grounds”, citing adultery.
Cornyn, meanwhile, has had a less incendiary tenure, but sought to win over Trump diehards with his own conservative bona fides, and even introducing a bill to name a future highway after Trump. But Cornyn, a prominent figure in Republican politics who was nearly chosen to be the Senate majority leader, became the latest target of Trump’s retribution campaign. In a Sunday social media post, Trump said Cornyn had been “VERY disloyal” to me and implored voters in Texas to “REMEMBER!”
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Starmer has no plan for Britain’ and ‘The heat’s still on’
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The Tempest review – Kenneth Branagh returns to the RSC in this enchanting production | Kenneth Branagh
Kenneth Branagh is said to have played 35 Shakespearean parts, albeit back in the day. Seeing him speaking in verse these days is something of an event, all the more so when he is making a return to the Royal Shakespeare Company after more than 30 years to take on, for the first time, Shakespeare’s magician, deposed duke and tyrant occupier. Even the king turned up for it some days ago.
Branagh’s Prospero initially follows in the vein of his fast and feverish King Lear, performed in the West End in 2023. He seems to be speeding through the part rather than inhabiting it, too puckish, almost larky, rather underwhelming. It is the show itself that casts its spell through its enchanting sights, sounds and ensemble accomplishments. Richard Eyre, directing his first Shakespeare play at Stratford, does a stupendous job of bringing an overt sense of performance to the production.
He casts Prospero as a conductor on this isle of sweet airs and noise and he conjures the opening storm from a music stand, orchestrating the action as a back-screen opens up to a magnificent vista of gurgling waves, the circular stage listing, the sound of drums, lightning and thunder creating a very theatrical sense of crash, bang and wallop. Prospero is bringing on a storm that will return his usurping brother to him, for vengeance, but he is also hailing in a polished cabaret or circus act, of which he is master.
Everyone plays their part: Ariel (Amara Okereke) looks like a trapeze artist, acrobatically afloat, a delight for her beautiful movement and song, and there is unspoken love in the chemistry between Prospero and Ariel. The scenes featuring Caliban (Ashley Zhangazha), Stephano (Guy Henry) and Trinculo (Keir Charles) as they plot rebellion, wink toward a music hall comedy sketch. It seems significant that Caliban is not monstrous or grotesque in any way but resembles an indentured slave. He is earnest, noble, putting on his comic act but tragic beneath.
Sound and music is central as a whole, with bongo drums both energising and symbolic of a land that Prospero has colonised whose indigenous sounds are insuppressible. Shakespeare’s songs sound new here, with a near-rap by Caliban and Prospero occasionally speaking in singsong lilts. Bob Crowley’s set design is enthralling too, almost Disney-like with its sparkly, floaty elements, casting spells over us with its visual thrills and beautifully choreographed movement. The back-screen is vital for conjuring Prospero’s illusions and there is something of the children’s magic show to it all.
Branagh’s diction bears clarity and ease, as ever, but not quite enough depth. He is vital and bounds around, a possessive dad as he stalks the sides of the stage while his daughter Miranda (Ruby Stokes) flirts with Ferdinand (Fred Woodley Evans), but far from John Gielgud’s elderman (in Peter Greenaway’s film). His levity is alluring but seems lightweight. So does the showmanship of the production in the first half, to some degree, busy in dazzling us with its magic rather than mining to the core of this profoundest of plays.
But as Branagh slows down too, the production takes on deeper, more plaintive shades and you feel the emotional hit when Prospero declares that the rarer action is in virtue than in vengeance. Caliban is wordlessly habilitated back into his rightful role as ruler of the island in this ending and it gives power to Prospero’s transformation. You feel the magician becoming more human and humane; abjuring tyranny as liberating for the oppressor as it is for the oppressed.
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