UK News
One in five UK hospitality businesses fear collapse as costs surge | Hospitality industry
One in five hospitality businesses fear collapse in the next 12 months, according to an industry-wide survey that comes days before rises in tax and employment costs kick in.
From Wednesday, many pub, restaurant and hotel companies face the prospect of a higher bill for business rates paid to their local authority, while an increase in minimum wage thresholds takes effect on the same day.
The impending cost crunch has left the sector facing a crisis in confidence and warning of multiple business failures unless the burden is “dramatically reduced”.
One in five of the survey respondents, who between them operate more than 20,000 venues, said their businesses were at risk of failing in the next 12 months.
Almost half (44%) were pessimistic, while 17% were operating at a loss and 2% believed their businesses were already unviable, according to data shared with the Guardian by sector analysts CGA by NIQ.
The mood is likely to have worsened since the survey was performed in February, after turmoil in the energy markets following the attacks on Iran by the US and Israel.
Surging oil and gas costs are likely to send energy bills soaring for businesses that aren’t on fixed-term contracts. The cost of ingredients, not to mention the extra strain on consumers’ wallets, presents further danger on top of the policy changes.
But the industry’s immediate focus is on the policy changes that come into effect on 1 April.
Survey respondents put increased employment costs at the top of their list of worries, followed by business rates and inflation in the cost of food and drink.
UKHospitality, which commissioned the survey alongside trade bodies from the pubs sector, said the increase in the national living wage and national minimum wage would result in an extra £1.4bn in costs for the sector.
The organisation said it could not provide an estimate of the overall cost of business rates changes, but it expected most of its members would pay more.
It believed the average hotel in England would pay £28,900 more this year (up 30%), while the average restaurant would face a 15% increase worth £1,800.
Both the wage and business rates increases are the result of measures announced in the chancellor Rachel Reeve’s budget in November.
After a backlash, relief schemes have been put in place to cap the level of increases, while pubs will get a 15% discount and a two-year freeze.
“Our local pubs, restaurants and hotels are finding it more and more difficult to make ends meet, and even more cost increases arriving this week will make that challenge even harder,” said UKHospitality, in a joint statement with the British Beer and Pub Association, the British Institute of Innkeeping and Hospitality Ulster.
“Too many businesses are simply not making any money, and it’s because the sector’s cost burden is so high. The only result is lost jobs and business closures, which ultimately hurts communities and high streets.
“The business rates support for pubs was essential and welcome, but there are many policies undermining government’s objectives to grow the economy and get more people back into work.
“Hospitality can be a driving force of growth and jobs, but only if its costs of doing business are dramatically reduced. The sector wants to work with government to achieve that.”
UK News
Manchester City v Liverpool kicks off FA Cup quarter-finals, Fernández latest and more – matchday live | FA Cup
Key events
Billy Munday caught the return of Roy Hodgson to Bristol City after 44 years of absence.
Football has changed in the two years since Hodgson left Crystal Palace, including “the cult of the long throw”, with Charlton’s Harry Clarke launching a ball into the box within moments of kick-off here. “I only came across that in the 80s when we played Wimbledon,” he said.
Per Reuters, it’s a big day in Miami for MLS club Inter Miami.
Inter Miami will open the home Lionel Messi helped build when they host Austin FC on Saturday night.
The match will be the first at the Herons’ permanent home, the 26,700-seat Nu Stadium, constructed slightly northwest of downtown Miami.
While approval for construction came before Messi joined Miami (3-1-1, 10 points) and MLS in the summer of 2023, it was always billed as a project meant to attract the game’s biggest stars. And now the man considered the game’s greatest living player will lead his team there.
“Honestly, it’s spectacular getting to see the new home,” Messi said this week in Spanish. “The new stadium turned out incredible, and it’s really special to be able to experience it. We’d been eager to play there, to make our debut, to finally be competing there. And now the moment has arrived.“
We didn’t see Harry Kane this week for England, but Barney Ronay has been keeping an eye on the great man.
The Premier League does feel a distance away, doesn’t it? Perhaps the FA Cup and European action in midweek can salve our thirst for now.
don’t recall a mid-season period like this with almost 3 full weeks between PL matches, and none over an easter weekend. This afternoon’s early match should be good, you’d guess that neither want to go to penalties, but whether as has been suggested the next 5 or so matches for Liverpool decide Scot’s future is debatable ie he’s either staying or going, nobody knows which just yet but if he goes then who is in the frame to replace him…and what does his replacement do if he ain’t comfortable with Liverpool’s set up re their new and rather expensive recent signings
said before the start of this season that I’d take top 4 and a decent domestic cup run, still holding to that but actually and given how they’re played, and how they’ve not played too often, this season maybe events 4 isn’t realistic…Liverpool can be expected to concede so yet again they may have to outscore their opponents and that issue, amongst a few, needs addressing before next season
The Women’s FA Cup is being played, too. Suzanne Wrack runs the rule over the ties.
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Arsenal v Brighton, Sunday 1pm
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Charlton v Liverpool, Sunday 2.30pm
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Chelsea v Tottenham, Monday 1.30pm
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Birmingham v Manchester City, Monday 5pm
Arsenal will come up against a goalkeeper on loan from Bayern Munich when they play Southampton in the cup later today. Ben Fisher spoke to Daniel Peretz.
Peretz was inspired by the Germany goalkeeper as a boy – he had a giant photo of the 2014 World Cup-winner on his bedroom wall – but in Bavaria Neuer, who turned 40 last week, morphed into a mentor. “[It went] from admiring the players, to them becoming my friends and my teammates.
“I watched every single save [Neuer] made and then he was with me day by day and he became a friend,” Peretz says, recalling the emotions of their first encounter. “I was sweating all over, so nervous that I could not speak. I had goosebumps, everything.”
More Liverpool, more Slot. More Salah.
Slot, however, insisted he would not have handled the situation with the club legend any differently. He explained: “Yes [he is happy with how he managed it]. I look back at this season thinking that I made a few decisions that could have been better, but I’m not talking about this specific thing with Mo. I don’t regret many things I did during our one-and-a-half years together, or just longer.
Ed Aarons takes up genealogy in this deep dive on the Arsenal family.
George Male was a key figure in Arsenal’s dominant side of the 1930s, helping them win five league titles in eight seasons. Known for his consistency and leadership in defence, he remains one of the club’s historic figures and is pictured in two places outside the Emirates Stadium. Male went on to become a long-serving youth-team coach and then a scout at Arsenal after retiring, and is remembered as the man who discovered Charlie George, who was part of the famous Double-winning team of 1970-71.
That Easter double-header got off to a great start for Frank Lampard’s Coventry. And: Millwall in the Premier League? It may well be happening.
Mikel Arteta wasn’t holding back in his press conference, either. This on the Carabao Cup.
During the first part, it’s like a ball of poison that you have in your tummy,” said Arteta when asked whether he had spent the international break stewing over the final.
“Take that out as quick as possible. How can I use that to make myself better, to make the team better? There is a part that I think has to be there and I think this is not going to go in the next 30 years. Because when you have the opportunity to win a final in Wembley, you have to get it done. So that has to stay there.
Talking of players linked with Madrid and City v Liverpool, Rodrí and Guardiola from Friday.
As mentioned in the preamble, today’s is a huge game for Liverpool. Andy Hunter has run the rule over the Arne Slot regime.
Let’s start with that Chelsea story. Ben Bloom was at the Liam Rosenior press conference while Jacob Steinberg has analysed the latest Cobham crisis.
Preamble
Good morning, football. Happy Easter, you happy eaters.
We’re up for the FA Cup, and it’s the last eight, with a huge game between Manchester City and Liverpool starting the weekend’s quartet of matches. Perhaps that’s not as amped up as it might have been, with both teams having tough seasons by contrast to previous successes but: City won the Carabao Cup in style and Liverpool look to rescue something from their season.
So, the games today are:
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Manchester City v Liverpool, 12.45pm
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Chelsea v Port Vale, 5.15pm
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Southampton v Arsenal, 8pm
With the EFL being played on Good Friday and Easter Monday, there’s a lack of action in England’s 92. But: there’s action in Scotland and across Europe, and a series of stories to look at, including L’affaire Fernandez at Chelsea.
Join me.
UK News
Bus or Lime bike? New subscription joins the race for a cheaper commute
It launched LimePrime at the end of February – a monthly subscription giving riders in Salford, Nottingham, London, Oxford and Milton Keynes a fixed price for the first 20 minutes of their journey. After that, riders are charged per minute at a discounted rate.
UK News
Claim sooner rather than later, experts urge, after £7.5bn car loan compensation scheme launched | Motor finance
Complain now to be at the front of the queue. That is the message from the City regulator and the consumer champion Martin Lewis as a scheme gets under way to pay out about £7.5bn in total to millions of motorists mis-sold car loans.
More information emerged this week about how much money the different categories of people might get and how it will all work after Monday’s announcement that an industry-wide compensation scheme for victims of the UK’s car finance scandal is definitely going ahead.
Here are five main takeaways:
Technically it’s two schemes. The plan was always for a single compensation scheme, but this week it emerged that the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), has set up two.
Scheme 1 covers older motor finance agreements, those taken out between 6 April 2007 and 31 March 2014; scheme 2 is for more recent ones, those taken out between 1 April 2014 and 1 November 2024.
As they are broadly similar, the FCA is generally referring to them collectively as “the scheme”.
A very brief recap of the story so far: millions of people were treated unfairly when they took out motor finance to buy a new or secondhand vehicle and ended up paying more than they should have done.
It is lenders (typically banks) who are on the hook for the compensation.
The scheme, which will be free to use, covers motor finance taken out over a 17-year period during which commission was paid by the lender to whoever sold the loan – usually the dealer.
You will only get a payout if important information was not properly disclosed to you.
The vast majority of new cars and an increasing number of used vehicles are bought with motor finance – typically either a personal contract purchase (PCP) plan or a hire purchase agreement.
The average payout has gone up. The FCA said in October last year it expected eligible consumers to receive an average of £695 an agreement. But tweaks mean this has increased to £829.
Most people will receive the average of the estimated financial disadvantage and the commission paid, plus interest. The formula for calculating loss depends on which scheme you are in.
In scheme 1, the average for each agreement is £734; in scheme 2, it is £881.
How much those getting a payout will receive also depends on which type of case theirs is – there are three. By far the biggest category is deals that included a “discretionary commission arrangement” (DCA) – a now-banned type of finance which allowed the dealer or broker to adjust (ie, increase) the interest rate the customer would pay to get a higher commission.
There are two other main types of case. One is where there was an arrangement that gave a lender exclusivity or ‘first dibs’ when it came to providing the credit to the individual (these are known as “contractual tie” cases).
The other involves unfairly high commission (where it was at least 39% of the total cost of the credit and 10% of the amount borrowed).
FCA documents suggest that for the DCA people, the average payout will be £810. For the second category named above, it’s £807. For the third category, involving an unfairly high commission, it’s quite a bit higher: £1,203.
Interest will be paid on compensation, based on the annual average Bank of England base rate per year plus 1%. The minimum interest people will receive is 3% in any year.
The FCA says consumers should not be put into a better position financially than they would have been in had they been treated fairly. This means that in about one in three cases, compensation will be capped (details of the formula being used are available online).
Fewer people will get compensation. The FCA previously estimated 14.2m loan agreements would be considered unfair, but on Monday it cut this to 12.1m. “We have tightened eligibility so only those treated unfairly receive compensation,” says the regulator. For example, agreements involving “minimal” commission (less than £150 or less than £120 depending on the date) will be excluded from redress.
Also, where a lender can prove there were visible links between the finance and the car manufacturer/dealer, a contractual tie alone will not trigger compensation. In other words (this is a made-up example), if you used a Volkswagen dealer and the car loan you signed up for was branded something like “Volkswagen Finance”.
Payouts could begin immediately. In theory, at least. Nikhil Rathi, the chief executive of the FCA has said : “There’s nothing stopping lenders moving tomorrow now they’ve seen the rules.”
Technically, the scheme has launched, but there will now be a short “implementation period” so lenders can get their ducks in a row. This will be up to 30 June this year for loans taken out after 1 April 2014, and up to 31 August this year for the older agreements.
The FCA says millions of people will receive compensation this year, but the complexities of the scheme mean it is hard to say exactly how many will get their cash this year and how many will have to wait until next year or the very start of 2028.
Get your complaint in now. Lenders will have three months from the end of the relevant implementation period to let people who have complained know whether they are owed compensation and how much.
The FCA says: “People who have already complained, or who complain before the end of the relevant implementation period, will be compensated sooner.”
Lewis says: “The only way to know if you were mis-sold is to complain. To know if you’ve got a complaint, you have to complain.”
The FCA says there is no need to use a claims management company (CMC) or law firm as people can complain now for free using a template letter on its website.
Lewis’s MoneySavingExpert website also has a free complaint tool and template letter. “You just put your details in, it formulates an email for you and tells you where to send it. You check it and you press send,” he says.
If you are unsure about who your car finance provider was, the FCA website includes details of a few ways that you can check.
Meanwhile, while the credit reference agency Equifax’s myEquifax app includes a free car finance checker tool to help track down and access past loan records.
Lenders will only contact people who have not complained if they are likely to be owed money. They have six months from the end of the relevant period to do so.
Anyone not contacted has until 31 August 2027 to make a claim.
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