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IMF hails UK’s budget deficit improvement and warns global debt heading towards post-WW2 high – business live | Business

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IMF hails UK’s budget deficit improvement

Newsflash: The International Monetary Fund has applauded the UK’s progress in reducing its budget deficit last year.

A day after slashing the UK’s growth forecasts, the IMF cited Britain as an example of an major economy which managed to trim its borrowings, after the UK’s deficit fell from 6.1% of GDP in 2024 to 5.4% in 2025.

In its latest Fiscal Monitor report, just released at its spring meeting in Washington, the IMF says:

double quotation markIn 2025, the headline deficit for advanced economies excluding the United States held broadly steady at 2.4% of GDP. The debt-to-GDP ratio for these economies fell only marginally to 95.3%, effectively unchanged from its 2019 level prior to the COVID-19 pandemic.

The United Kingdom recorded a notable improvement, reducing its deficit to 5.4% of GDP, with the change driven by tax increases, tax threshold freezes, and the expiration of temporary measures for energy support.

Canada and Japan also posted gains, reflecting spending restraint. These gains were partly offset by the use of some fiscal space by countries with historically strong fiscal positions, such as Korea and The Netherlands.

The IMF is forecasting that the UK’s annual budget deficit will drop to 3.9% of GDP this year, and continue falling until 2031 when it will be 1.6% of GDP, the second-lowest in the G7 after Canada.

In contrast, the US will need revenue and expenditure measures over the medium term to control its deficit, given “the persistence of primary spending and the scale of projected deficits”, the IMF says.

A chart showing government deficit predictions
Photograph: IMF

The Fund also warns Rachel Reeves not to stray from her fiscal rules, saying:

double quotation markIn the United Kingdom, adhering to established spending envelopes while strengthening the efficiency of value-added and property taxes is key to rebuilding buffers.

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Finance ministers call for swift end to Iran war

A group of 11 finance ministers, including UK chancellor Rachel Reeves, are calling for a swift and lasting negotiated resolution to the conflict in the Middle East.

In a joint statement, finance ministers from the United Kingdom, Australia, Japan, Sweden, the Netherlands, Finland, Spain, Norway, Ireland, Poland and New Zealand warn that the Iran war will continue to weigh on global growth, inflation and financial markets even once it is durably resolved.

The group of finance chiefs are calling on all parties to implement the ceasefire in full, saying:

double quotation markThe past weeks have brought unacceptable loss of life and significant disruption to the global economy and financial markets, and the ceasefire will be crucial to protecting civilian populations and the security of the region.

They also call for a swift and lasting negotiated resolution to the conflict, and a return to free and safe transit through the Strait of Hormuz.

The group also call for an end to protectionist actions in hydrocarbon and other supply chains, adding “We commit to promoting cooperation and integration to support regional and global stability.”

And they conclude by reaffirming “unwavering support for Ukraine” and pledge to maintain economic pressure on Russia, saying:

double quotation markRussia’s war in Ukraine, now in its fifth year, continues to negatively impact the global economy. Russia must not benefit from this conflict, and as market conditions allow to avoid exacerbating disruptions to supply chains and energy prices, we will continue collaborating on ways to increase pressure. We remain committed to upholding the rules based international system.

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