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Crystal Palace v Shakhtar Donetsk: Europa Conference League semi-final, second leg – live | Conference League
Key events
76 mins: Almost game over here, as Munoz feeds the ball into Larsen, who turns his marker and sees his close-range shot ping away off Riznyk’s heel.
75 mins: A change for Shakhtar as Brazilian playmaker Pedrinho is replaced by Brazilian playmaker Lucas Ferreira. Lassina Traoré gets a shot away, but it takes a deflection and bobbles through to Henderson.
73 mins: Kamada draws a foul in the Palace half to end a spell of lukewarm Shakhtar pressure. Elsewhere, Freiburg are 3-0 up (4-2 on agg) against Braga, and are heading to the Europa League final in Istanbul.
71 mins: The game has lost its rhythm, with Palace’s second goal taking the wind from Shakhtar sails. Jorgen Strand Larsen is on for Mateta, Oli Glasner’s first change of the night.
“In response to Mitchell, whilst I understand the sentiment if you removed the ‘big five’ leagues, then would the attendances at the games be enough to finance the competition?” wonders Ian.
I think that’s the difficulty – it’s devalued if it’s not a truly Europe-wide tournament. On the other hand, it’s looking like an England-Spain final again, albeit one with a more romantic vibe than last year.
Aston Villa lead 2-0 on the night, and 2-1 on aggregate. Can Forest fight back? John Brewin is watching.
65 mins: Pedrinho gets his half-volley on target, Henderson grabbing the ball to his left – but the offside flag has gone up.
An alternative argument: “The Conference League is a great competition isn’t it?” writes John Breenan. “A possible final between Crystal Palace and Rayo Vallecano, what’s not to like about that?”
John also wonders: “After the furore about dropping down to Conference League, has it been better for Palace than being in the Europa League?” Palace fans, get in touch.
61 mins: From the throw-in, the ball bobbles across goal where is met by Mateta’s telescopic leg. Sadly, his effort is overhit and flies off in the direction of the South Norwood Morley’s.
60 mins: Mitchell, who alongside fellow wing-back Munoz has been excellent, takes aim from 25 yards out but sees his shot deflected away for a throw in.
“Unpopular opinion,” warns Mitchell Porter. “I think that we should remove the top five European leagues from the Conference League and keep it for the leagues that don’t have their finances.”
59 mins: The Palace back three stroke the ball around, trying to build those possession stats – it’s currently 68% to 32% in Shakhtar’s favour. Not that it really matters.
56 mins: Changes for Shakhtar, as Lassina Traore replaces the busy but wasteful Elias. Newerton is also on, replacing holding midfielder Oleh Ocheretko.
That was Palace at their devastating best on the break, and Shakhtar now need three goals to force extra time. “Que sera sera, whatever will be will be, we’re going to Germany,” sing the exultant home fans.
GOAL! Crystal Palace 2-1 Shakhtar (5-2 on agg) Sarr 52′
Palace break away in trademark style and after the referee plays at least two advantages, Mitchell crosses and Sarr flicks across goal, and in off the far post!
51 mins: Save! An unfortunate ricochet presents the ball to Elias, who drills it low and hard from a tight angle. Dean Henderson stands up and gets a foot on the ball …
50 mins: Isaque shows a first flash of skill as he tries to thread a pass into Elias’ feet – but it’s just overhit and Henderson snaffles the ball.
48 mins: Wharton links up with Mitchell, whose cross just evades Mateta. Wharton picks it up again and lifts the ball back into the mixer, where Riznyk grabs it under pressure from Mateta and Munoz.
47 mins: Will Palace look to be a touch less reactive in this half? They’ve started with a steady spell of midfield possession …
Second half
Arda Turan makes a second Shakhtar change, with Alisson Santana heading off. He’s replaced by Isaque Silva, a teenage talent from (you guessed it) Brazil.
Rayo Vallecano lead Strasbourg 1-0 (2-0 on agg) at half-time, and are on course for the final in Leipzig. Which begs the question: are Rayo the Spanish Crystal Palace? It feels like a good fit, but thoughts welcome.
Elsewhere at half-time, Villa lead Forest 1-0, making it 1-1 on aggregate. The winner will probably play Freiburg in the Europa League final; they lead 2-0 (3-2 on agg) at home to 10-man Braga.
“In the light of Peter Oh’s email (best of the season, I’d contend), I’ll be really happy with either of these teams going through, and either of Forest or Villa too,” writes Gary Naylor.
“What I’m wondering is whether that makes for a better night than the usual partisan stance of wanting the usual suspects sent packing ASAP? I suspect not – a bit sadly.”
Half time: Crystal Palace 1-1 Shakhtar (4-2 on agg)
Palace emerge from a testing first half with their two-goal cushion intact. Pedro Henrique’s own goal put them in charge, but Eguinaldo’s silky equaliser means Shakhtar aren’t done just yet.
45+2 mins: Shakhtar’s final attacking foray of the half ends with Pedro Henrique fouling Sarr.
45 mins: Three minutes of stoppage time. In the other semi-final, Rayo Vallecano lead Strasbourg 1-0 on the night, and 2-0 on aggregate. Good news for el coeficiente.
Palace hit the post! After soaking up a spell of pressure, Palace push forward and Mateta connects acrobatically with Munoz’s cross. His effort beats Riznyk but clips the outside of the post!
No penalty! The ball hit Mateta on the thigh and bounced on to his arm – and VAR doesn’t seek to intervene after the referee waves play on.
40 mins: Palace are hanging on a bit as half-time approaches, and Shakhtar have a corner, pinged towards the near post by Alisson – and there’s a big shout for handball!
There’s a goal at Villa Park – but which way has it gone, John Brewin?
37 mins: Shakhtar still need two goals to pull level on aggregate, but they look capable. Alisson is involved again here, thudding an effort a few feet over the bar.
35 mins: Woof! Seconds after the restart, Sarr sends a long shot not far wide of goal. The pace is relentless.
GOAL! Crystal Palace 1-1 Shakhtar (4-2 agg) Eguinaldo 33′
Shakhtar keep the ball and Henrique slips it sideways to Eguinaldo, who takes a touch and gently lifts the ball into the top corner! There’s a split-second of confusion before the away fans celebrate.
32 mins: Munoz storms upfield and hits a shot straight at Riznyk, and Shakhtar counter at equivalent speed, with Alisson’s shot well blocked at the far post …
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Gas-fired power still looks a safe bet for Centrica in the renewables era | Nils Pratley
The eye-catching non-Hormuz news in energy-land last month was that Great Britain is set for a record-breaking summer for wind and solar power generation. The national energy system operator even thought there could be periods – a sunny weekend or a bank holiday afternoon of low demand, for example – when more renewable power would be available than the electricity grid needed.
So, on the face of it, it is an odd moment for Centrica, the owner of British Gas, to fork out £370m to buy a 16-year-old combined-cycle gas turbine plant in south Wales. After all, the government’s clean power plan imagines that, come 2030, Great Britain’s entire fleet of gas plants will be used to generate only 5% of its electricity, down from 31.5% in 2025.
In reality, the purchase of the 850MW Severn plant near Newport makes strong sense. First, the pure financials stack up: Centrica said it expects top-line annual earnings of £30m-£60m from the facility from next year, implying an earnings yield of more than 10% in the middle of the range.
Second, it’s not as if gas-fired power stations earn nothing when they are standing idle. Most get paid just to be available to generate via “capacity market payments”. Severn’s fees from that source are expected to be £35m a year until 2030. It is unclear, under the government’s plans, how gas plants will be incentivised to stay on the system after 2030 but, since intermittent renewables will need to be supported by a power source that can be turned on at short notice, some form of financial carrot will have to materialise to ensure a core of gas plants survive until more nuclear capacity arrives.
Third, there will probably be value in being among the survivors. Severn, built in 2010, may not sound modern but, relative to other plants in Great Britain’s fleet, it is. It may have another decade of life without refurbishment – and refurbishment, note, has become more expensive for older plants now that waiting times for new turbines run into years. And, if the predicted datacentre boom in south Wales materialises, the plant is in the right place.
So it is hard to quibble with Centrica chief executive Chris O’Shea’s explanation: “With the delivery of replacement capacity being impacted by grid access, rising costs and supply chain constraints, alongside the closure of ageing gas assets towards the end of the decade, the need for assets like Severn will increase.”
This is the part of the energy transition that gets less attention amid the rollout of solar, wind and battery storage. There is still a need for gas-powered generation to keep the lights on when, for example, it’s a still day in the dead of winter. Gas plants, according to the grand plan, may only produce 5% of Great Britain’s electricity over the course of a whole year but their periods of generation will be concentrated and unpredictable, which probably implies a price premium.
For Centrica, the purchase is another step towards becoming an infrastructure-style business with regulated, semi-regulated and contracted revenues. Last year’s purchase of a 15% stake in Sizewell C power station for £1.3bn – on juicy-looking terms – was in the same style; so, too, the acquisition of the Isle of Grain gas import terminal. On cue, a warning that operating profits from the retail businesses – mainly British Gas – will be “at the lower end of guidance” this year, which knocked the shares down 5%, reinforced the logic of the strategy. An unglamorous gas plant looks more predictable.
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