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Analysis: Has Starmer done enough to save his premiership?

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EU’s Kallas criticises Putin’s ‘very cynical’ Ukraine ceasefire calls and rejects suggestion of Schröder as mediator – Europe live | Europe

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EU’s Kallas criticises Putin’s ‘very cynical’ ceasefire calls, rejects suggestion of Schröder as mediator on Ukraine

EU’s foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas earlier was also dismissive of Putin’s “very cynical” calls for a ceasefire “to protect his parade, whereas they were actually still attacking civilians in Ukraine.”

European Union foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas speaks with the media as she arrives for a meeting of EU foreign ministers at the European Council building in Brussels, Monday.
European Union foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas speaks with the media as she arrives for a meeting of EU foreign ministers at the European Council building in Brussels, Monday. Photograph: Marius Burgelman/AP

And the former Estonian prime minister, too, was not particularly keen on Schröder as a mediator on Ukraine.

“If we give the right to Russia to appoint a negotiator on our behalf, that would not be very wise.

And second, I think Gerhard Schröder has been the high-level lobbyist for Russian state-owned companies, so it’s clear why Putin wants him to be the person so that actually he would be sitting on both sides of the table.”

Kallas also warned against broader Russian operations in Europe, warning that “clearly, our adversaries are not sleeping; so clearly, they want to increase the influence in Europe.”

“We unfortunately already see this in sports organisations, where, you know, Russians are let to compete like nothing has happened. And there are discussions there. We also saw this Venice Biennale where they are there like nothing has happened. So clearly they are working all the time and we have to be vigilant as well.”

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Evacuated US and French MV Hondius passengers test positive for hantavirus

Angelique Chrisafis in Paris and Sam Jones in Madrid

Meanwhile, a French woman and an American national evacuated from the cruise ship at the centre of a deadly hantavirus outbreak have tested positive for the virus, as the complex operation to repatriate those onboard continued on Monday.

A person wearing a protective mask stands on board the cruise ship MV Hondius, affected by a hantavirus outbreak, at the port of Granadilla de Abona, Tenerife, Spain. Photograph: Pedro Nunes/Reuters

The French woman was one of five French passengers who disembarked from the ship in Tenerife on Sunday before being flown to a hospital in Paris.

The French health minister, Stéphanie Rist, said the woman was in a serious condition on Monday.

Rist said the woman had started to feel very unwell on Sunday night and “tests came back positive”. Rist told France Inter radio: “Unfortunately, her symptoms worsened overnight.” She is being treated in a specialised infectious diseases unit of a hospital in Paris.

Personnel in full-body protective gear and breathing masks began escorting the travellers from ship to shore in Tenerife in the Canary Islands on Sunday, in an effort that was continuing on Monday. More than 100 people of 23 nationalities are being evacuated in less than 48 hours, in an operation described by Spanish authorities as “complex” and “unprecedented”.

Spain’s health ministry said on Monday that “all possible measures had been adopted from the start in order to cut possible chains of transmission”, adding that passengers underwent a health check and had their temperatures taken when the ship arrived off Tenerife on Sunday.

It also said the French woman who had developed a fever on the evacuation flight had not had a high temperature when she was examined onboard the MV Hondius.

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UK government borrowing costs rise as Starmer ‘fails to reassure bond markets’ – business live | Business

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Keir Starmer’s speech ‘fails to reassure bond markets’ as yields rise higher

UK government borrowing costs are creeping a little higher after a morning of rising political jitters.

The yield, or interest rate, on UK 30-year bonds is now up 8 basis points (0.08 of a percentage point) at 5.65%, up from 5.57% on Friday night. That’s higher than just before Keir Starmer’s speech this morning, when they were up about 5bps.

Benchmark 10-year bond yields have risen higher too – now up 6bps, having been 4bps higher earlier in the morning.

Rising bond yields indicate that bond prices have dropped, suggesting less appetite for UK debt and pushing up the cost of borrowing.

These increases comes as Labour MP, David Smith, has said Starmer should set a timetable for his departure and that the government neeed “to act faster, and be more radical”.

Update: Labour MP Catherine West, who announced a challenge to Starmer over the weekend, has now said she wants the prime minister to set a timetable of September for an orderly departure.

Susannah Streeter, chief investment strategist at Wealth Club, says there are concerns in the bond markets that a change of Prime Minister would prompt wider turmoil at the top of government, and less focus on fiscal rules.

Streeter writes:

double quotation mark“Keir Starmer’s address to the nation hasn’t done the trick of calming bond markets. There is still a sense of jitters playing out as concerns about political instability collide with inflationary fears prompted by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. His speech was designed to project a ‘keep calm and carry on’ message, but the worry is that it lacks the real substance needed to keep Labour MPs on side.

Ten-year gilt yields have crept higher, nudging 5% once more, while longer-dated government debt remains hovering above 5.6%. They have not been at this level for a sustained period since the late 1990s.

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Enrique Díaz-Alvarez, chief economist at global financial services firm Ebury, argues that the pound has weathered the results of the May local elections in the UK remarkably well.

With sterling down just 0.2% so far today, Díaz-Alvarez argues that the Labour bloodbath was roundly expected and priced in by markets, adding:

double quotation mark“Investors are betting that Labour’s overwhelming defeat will not end Starmer’s premiership just yet, but pressure on the prime minister looks set to intensify in the coming days, with a number of backbenchers already calling for his resignation.

“As this is written, no potential rivals on his left have launched a formal bid to replace him, although there are murmurs that the likes of Rayner and Streeting are privately weighing their options.

“A potential lurch to the left is what markets fear most, as this could mean higher taxes, heavier gilt issuance and a broader fiscal risk premium baked into UK assets.

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British Steel nationalisation plans announced by Starmer

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A precise figure of how much full nationalisation of British Steel could cost has not been announced and it is understood that following legislation an independent valuation would be carried out of the business, to see what, if any, compensation might be due to Jingye.



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