Traffic & Transport
Back on track: can Burnham fix the north’s woeful rail services? | Rail industry
For passenger rail travel, the north of England was the future, once. But since that first train from Darlington to Stockton in 1825, many have felt short-changed. As one angry passenger put it, 200 years later: “What is it about the rail industry which makes them think they can treat passengers in the north as second-class citizens?”
That complaint came from the former mayor of Greater Manchester, who frequently set out a different vision for the train services he would like. Now that Andy Burnham is in No 10, he has the opportunity to win those battles – or perhaps see them a little differently. For now, what unresolved issues could the railway expect to be pursued with greater urgency?
A new fast line from Birmingham to Manchester
“There’s frustration and anger … I don’t see how you can take a plan that goes beyond the life of any individual government and basically tear it up at a party conference.” (Burnham, October 2023)
When Rishi Sunak, then prime minister, axed the northern leg of HS2 at the Conservative conference in Manchester in 2023, Burnham led the cries of betrayal. But he also started investigating alternative schemes, with two consecutive mayors of the West Midlands, for a line connecting their city regions. Building on some of the work already done, and safeguarding land acquired for HS2, the scheme that eventually emerged looked suspiciously like the old line but “quickly and crucially at a significantly lower cost”.
In January, government rail plans set out under Keir Starmer included an “intention to build” a new line connecting Birmingham and Manchester, once other northern aspirations – see below – were fulfilled.
Earlier this month, the transport secretary, Heidi Alexander, said: “When we made that announcement, what I agreed with Andy is that we would also do a study about how you address the capacity constraints on the west coast mainline between Birmingham and Manchester […] I’m fully expecting the new prime minister to tell me to put some rocket boosters under that study, perhaps to do it a bit quicker.”
Better intercity services than Avanti
“Avanti should have been left on probation. People in Greater Manchester deserve a stable, predictable rail service between here and London and it is simply not acceptable. It is one kick in the teeth after another.” (Burnham, 20 October 2023)
The triumphant arrival of Burnham as the newly elected Makerfield MP in London was highly anticipated – but, taking the Avanti West Coast train, unsurprisingly delayed. The intercity operator is significantly improved from its post-Covid nadir, with a fleet overhaul and steady restoration of the timetable, but punctuality and cancellations remain among the worst in Britain, and industrial relations issues are not resolved.
Burnham opposed the renewal of Avanti’s contract, and one way or another, he will soon have the service back in public hands. All train operations are being folded into the new Great British Railways, with Avanti expected to be renationalised in spring 2027. Continued poor results could conceivably bring that forward. A government source said: “We recognise Avanti isn’t performing and all options are on the table to improve that.”
With Burnham’s nascent No 10 North requiring parts of government – indeed, the PM himself – to shuttle swiftly between the cities, the planned change in ownership alone may not be enough.
The local government professor Tony Travers says: “The service delivery is clearly way below acceptable. Having some of the most senior people in government trying to use it will test whether it can be made better.
“It brings into very precise focus the question of whether they can improve the west coast mainline: either it can and it makes people think it should have been done before – or it can’t, and it’s an insoluble policy question.”
NPR – and the underground station at Manchester Piccadilly
“We will never accept anything other than an underground station at Piccadilly. For us, that land is the prime economic development opportunity of the north of England.” (Burnham, December 2025)
The price tag for Northern Powerhouse Rail (NPR), as set by Labour in January, is a maximum £45bn – although detailed plans have yet to be drawn up. Burnham was most associated with what is now phase 2, under the latest iteration: a largely new, faster Liverpool-Manchester line.
But the PM’s longstanding claim was that the city at the heart of NPR needed a new Manchester Piccadilly station to be built underground. Estimates given for such a station when the city was part of HS2’s plans were an extra £5bn.
Burnham maintained it was worth it. Partly, for rail reasons: allowing fast trains to cross Manchester and hence the north across the NPR route. But he also maintained that the city centre would be blighted by a “line on stilts”, as others termed it, and lose its chance for the kind of regeneration London has seen around King’s Cross.
Nonetheless, a recent public accounts committee report warned of “difficult trade-off decisions between local areas … an underground station at Manchester is expected to be more costly and could therefore reduce the budget available for additional development in other localities”.
Rather than pit himself against the claims of other cities, Burnham talked up a Crossrail-style fundraising model, with supplementary business rates paid and cities borrowing against future fares. That worked to fund the Elizabeth line in London, but as Travers points out, from a much bigger population and business base: “It would have to be a substantial payment from business rates in Greater Manchester – I am not sure it would go down well.”
Cities controlling urban rail lines
“By removing freight trains from the city centre, the railways will work better for everyone.” (Burnham, January 2025)
Last year, Burnham unveiled the next phase in his plans for Manchester’s Bee Network, the integrated transport system founded primarily on the buses that he took back under public control. By 2030, 96 national rail stations in the city region are planned to be branded in the yellow Bee livery and “brought up to an exemplar Greater Manchester standard”.
That would allow local rail services to come under the network’s fare cap, and start work “to improve reliability and implement service changes”. While the plan emphasised that Manchester would explore “opportunities to optimise both freight and passenger journeys”, the talk of removing freight trains alarmed their operators, already concerned by safeguards under the planned Great British Railways.
In Downing Street, he has emphasised the desire for more devolution and strengthening mayors’ hands. Great British Railways is also expected to be a largely devolved structure by regions, with track and train integrated.
But it is also supposed to be a “guiding mind” for the railways: balancing the needs of freight, open access, long distance and commuter services, and trying to move away from ministerial and Department for Transport micromanagement.
The power outage at a regional control centre in Manchester last week, with disruption rippling out, underlined how interconnected the whole railway remains. With devolution, GBR may be freeing itself from Whitehall and finding a new layer of political involvement to navigate.
Traffic & Transport
Healey backs pro-growth case for Heathrow third runway after Burnham ducks issue | Heathrow third runway
John Healey has said there is a pro-growth case for going ahead with a third runway at Heathrow despite the prime minister declining to back it.
Healey’s predecessor as chancellor, Rachel Reeves, put approval of the long-planned runway at the heart of her “growth speech” last year, saying it would “make Britain the world’s best-connected place to do business”.
However, since arriving in No 10 in July, Andy Burnham has ducked the issue of whether the runway should go ahead, suggesting it should be “a matter for London and Londoners”.
A recent Sunday Times report suggested the prime minister had told the transport secretary, Heidi Alexander, that he was “unconvinced” by arguments for the megaproject.
Asked for his views in Bangkok this week, Healey said the government would study responses to a public consultation, which recently closed. He appeared to strike a markedly more positive note than Burnham, however.
“I think in recent decades, and this is true in Heathrow and airports right across the UK, that they have been a big part of jobs and growth. And the case for a third runway at Heathrow has always been a case for growth,” he said.
Healey has insisted economic growth is his and Burnham’s “number one mission” in government.
Heathrow’s chief executive, Thomas Woldbye, has warned that investors could reassess their backing for the £33bn infrastructure project if it does not receive the prime minister’s support.
“Our shareholders would like to do this,” he said earlier this week. “They do think that things are taking a long time, and so far they have decided to be OK with that … But of course we cannot wait for ever.”
The airport’s owners include Qatar’s investment authority; the French private equity firm Ardian; Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund and Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund, GIC. They are expected to decide in the coming months whether to apply for formal planning permission.
Healey voted in favour of the third runway when the question was put to the House of Commons in 2018.
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The chancellor was in Bangkok to attend the International Monetary Fund annual meetings but has returned to London to put the finishing touches to his 28 October budget.
The UK was praised by the IMF this week for taking action to cut its deficit, while other large economies have opted not to do so. The IMF’s managing director, Kristalina Georgieva, urged Healey to “stay the course” in his budget.
On Thursday, official figures showed the UK economy unexpectedly continued to grow in August.
Traffic & Transport
‘We should all be worried’: calls grow to limit London rollout of robotaxis | Transport
For passengers in Britain who want to try the latest ride, robotaxis are eagerly awaited: more than 100,000 are on Uber’s waitlist in London after the first UK services started in September.
Others view them with trepidation. “I think we should all be worried,” said Florentina Ghiuzan, an Uber driver from Essex. “I was shocked TfL approved it so soon. I knew change would come. But I thought it would come with a solution for us.”
London’s rollout is facing mounting opposition, from drivers fearing for their future and the capital’s politicians, with a critical report demanding Transport for London (TfL) is given full powers to permit or suspend operations.
Drivers will this weekend protest outside the headquarters and depot of Wayve, which has partnered with Uber to supply London’s first autonomous cabs for hire.
The direct action marks the latest salvo between unions and the global tech companies, whose driverless cars trials expanded this week to Manchester, with fears that hundreds of thousands of driver jobs could be lost.
Although only a handful of driverless cars now ply the streets, Uber has announced plans to deploy 100,000 Nvidia robotaxis worldwide starting next year, and its senior executives have talked about all new cars being autonomous by 2040. In San Francisco, Waymo’s fully autonomous cars already operate more than a quarter of all rides.
The mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, and bosses at TfL have expressed unease, and the London assembly’s transport committee has called for the government to devolve authority over autonomous taxi services.
In a report published this week, the committee said there was “considerable uncertainty around many of the claimed benefits of autonomous passenger vehicles”, and fears over the impact on public transport and congestion, as well as safeguarding and accessibility for disabled passengers.
The chair, Caroline Russell, said they were not convinced that London should welcome robotaxis. “Rather than just accepting the autonomous passenger service model proposed by operators, London should be looking at the transport problems it is trying to solve and then considering what solutions this technology could provide,” she said.
TfL is understood to see little benefit in the addition of robotaxi services to its crowded city streets, even if the numbers turn out to be relatively few in comparison to the wider traffic.
For the robotaxi companies, London is a tempting challenge to crack. Commercially, it is one of the biggest private hire markets in the world and a foothold in Europe; logistically, it is a tricky test bed to prove their vehicles are viable anywhere. Compared with the grid system of US cities in particular, it presents narrower, twisting and unruly streets, without the kind of rules on jaywalking that give cars priority on the road.
Under current rules, TfL licenses passenger services, but the government decides whether autonomous vehicles can operate. TfL has approved the start of Uber and Wayve’s limited robotaxi services, which retain a human safety driver in the front seat.
As it stands, when it comes to fully autonomous passenger services, the Department for Transport would issue permits for robotaxis with TfL only able to grant or refuse consent, rather than regulate their usage on London’s streets.
That has alarmed TfL, which sees parallels with when Uber first started business in London, creating problems few had considered, and was twice rebuffed in licence renewals as not a “fit and proper” operator. Quite how driverless cars will affect the capital’s transport ecosystem is unknown – and TfL wants to retain the power to intervene.
City hall is also concerned about the social implications of more than 100,000 licensed drivers losing income or a living. Those at the frontline in the App Drivers and Couriers Union (ADCU) are planning protests outside Wayve’s London base from this Saturday.
Their members include Ghiuzan, 42, who started working as a driver four years ago after going back to college. She said: “Our earnings are the same or even lower since I started – and with the robotaxis on the market it could get even worse.”
Ghiuzan said she was notified of the start of autonomous services as an Uber customer – but received no notification as a driver. She thinks people will switch to robotaxis: “Young people like them, it’s new, and you don’t have to pay the driver … I might have other skills, but for lots of drivers who are older and have done it their whole life, it’s going to be quite a challenge.”
Faisal Osman, 51, from east London, has been an Uber driver for 12 years, after switching from a long commute to an IT engineering job to allow him to work nights when he had children. He knows four other engineers who joined Uber: “We all used to talk about AI taking our jobs in IT. We thought, we’re not earning as much driving but we’ll be safe for a while, support the family, pay the bills. But robocabs are a massive concern.
“People might be interested but it will decimate the livelihoods of many people including me – I really wanted some authorities to say no.”
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Abdurzak Hadi, an Uber driver and theLondon chair of the ADCU, said Saturday’s protests would follow a similar action held at Waymo’s base in Park Royal in August. He said: “For me as a driver, I’m thinking about competing with a machine that’s not going to get tired, and could work 24 hours a day.
“But as a Londoner with family, I’m thinking about safety. As licensed drivers we’re taught by TfL about safeguarding, looking out for a vulnerable child, or for abuse. Or looking after passengers who can only read your lips. We’re a safety net. But losing my job – that’s also losing a safety net for my family.”
A recent report from the Centre for British Progress thinktank said more than 400,000 UK drivers (121,000 in London) would soon find “much of this work obsolete”, and urged the government to tax autonomous vehicles to help pay for the social consequences and economic losses.
The GMB union has demanded a “just transition” to help drivers reskill and find new work. Speaking at the Labour conference last month, the GMB’s Mark Betteridge said the union was not against change but added: “The people who do these jobs will know the reality far better of what change will look like … Drivers tell us they want some sort of transition plan to get through this.”
The roads minister, Justin Madders, told the meeting that autonomous vehicles could bring “opportunities for well-paid and unionised jobs” and the government wanted Britain to be a “world leader” in the technology. But, he added: “Sometimes government hasn’t worked on the impact on workers … We’re absolutely committed to making sure that doesn’t happen that time.”
An Uber spokesperson said: “Drivers and AVs [automated vehicles], which we believe will also offer considerable benefits to cities, are both expected to grow side by side for quite some time. That said, we shouldn’t hide that autonomous mobility will impact workers, riders, and the communities they live in.
“We are in conversations with the government and local stakeholders to ensure we can realise the promise of AVs while not leaving drivers and communities behind.”
Uber said it had not significantly increased its share of fares in London but VAT changes meant drivers were keeping less of the fares customers paid, and it said it was the only private hire operator in the UK recognising its drivers as workers with employment protections.
Wayve said that with Uber it was taking a “deliberately phased approach”, and had engaged extensively with political leaders, community organisations and accessibility advocates. A spokesperson said its robotaxis could “make a positive contribution to London’s transport system, helping to improve road safety, expand connectivity and give people more ways to travel.
“There is clear excitement in the potential for this technology to support safer, more accessible journeys, provided it is introduced responsibly and in partnership with the city. We have a positive, constructive relationship with TfL and we’re working pragmatically together to ensure any future services meet its expectations.”
A spokesperson for Khan said the mayor was committed to ensuring that Londoners benefitted from the opportunities new technologies could bring but shared “concerns about potential impacts on safety, congestion and jobs”, as any changes needed to “work for our world-leading transport system – including taxi and private hire services, and those who drive them”.
Traffic & Transport
Number of cloned number plates on UK roads at record high, data shows | Transport
The number of reported “cloned” vehicles involved in offences on UK roads has reached a record high, official data shows.
More than 11,400 drivers contacted the DVLA last year after being issued with fines for offences they said they did not recognise or accept responsibility for – most of which are believed to be down to cloning, where a number plate is copied fraudulently on similar vehicles to avoid enforcement cameras.
The number of complaints about misattribution was 9% higher than in 2024 and almost double the figure recorded in 2018, according to the RAC motoring organisation, which analysed data obtained under freedom of information requests.
The rising figures underscore concerns about the number of illegal number plates in use, allowing criminals to evade detection and dangerous drivers to avoid being caught.
Although drivers should provide number plate suppliers with the V5C vehicle logbook and proof of identity, an investigation last year uncovered more than 130 official suppliers in the UK willing to sell cloned versions, which allow drivers to dodge police and congestion charges.
Cloning vehicles has left many innocent car owners having to struggle to prove they were not responsible when enforcement camera images apparently caught their vehicle committing offences.
A parallel concern is the use of “ghost” plates which are designed to be unreadable by the UK’s 18,000 automatic number plate recognition (ANPR) cameras, which enforce safety measures such as speed limits or lane closures on smart motorways.
The RAC said the UK needed to overhaul an outdated and poorly regulated number plate system. Its head of policy, Simon Williams, said: “If number plate suppliers were carrying out all the checks they’re supposed to, it would be much harder for dodgy drivers to buy cloned plates in the first place. It’s only when a fine arrives at a vehicle keeper’s home address that they realise someone else is driving around using their vehicle’s number plate illegally.”
He said that more also needed to be done to catch drivers with ghost plates, “whether that’s more police officers being equipped with handheld devices that can detect if plates are unreadable, updating ANPR cameras and introducing higher security standards for number plates and for those who produce them”.
The government last month said there would be a new nationwide crackdown on illegal number plates, with funding from the Department for Transport for a new roads policing team. A new National Roads Policing Coordination Centre would share intelligence as well as trialling new technology such as specialised goggles to detect number plates that have been designed to be unreadable by cameras.
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Drivers using an incorrectly displayed number plate can be fined up to £1,000.
A Department for Transport spokesperson said: “We’re cracking down on illegal number plates with significant investment in a new roads policing team and innovative tech to stamp out the scourge of cloned numberplates.
“Illegal number plates help facilitate crime, and we are supporting the police to work with the DVLA to make it easier to report these crimes and support victims through a new digital tool.”
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