UK News
Keir Starmer makes late pitch to voters turning to Greens and Reform | May 2026 elections
Labour is braced for record-breaking losses in Thursday’s local elections in England, which could be decisive for Keir Starmer’s future as prime minister.
In a message to voters on Thursday, Starmer said Reform’s Nigel Farage and the Greens’ Zack Polanski were “not fit to meet this moment of great global instability” and that only Labour was putting the national interest first.
“Today when you put your vote in the ballot box, you face a clear choice,” he said. “Progress and a better future for the community you call home, with a Labour council working with a Labour government. Versus the anger and division offered up by Reform or empty promises from the Greens.
“In tough times, you need politicians who will always stand up for you and your family. Time and again Nigel Farage and Zack Polanski have shown they are not fit to meet this moment of great global instability. Today I pledge firmly to you: whatever the pressure, Labour will always back you and your family and we will never waver from doing what is in Britain’s national interest.”
MPs told the Guardian that any result in which the party lost more than 1,500 council seats would be existential. But polling experts have said significantly worse results are possible – including the University of Oxford’s Stephen Fisher who has predicted the party will lose more than 75% of its seats, or about 1,900.
Labour hopes to be able to point to early holds in London, including Westminster and Wandsworth, which were traditionally Tory councils, to set the narrative that results have not been as bad as predicted.
But that message is unlikely to endure given that Reform is expected to take historically Labour councils such as Barnsley and Sunderland, while the SNP looks set for a fifth victory in the Scottish parliament elections, where Labour is also likely to lose ground, having once been on course to take power.
YouGov’s final MRP model of the 2026 Holyrood election suggests the SNP will fall just short of the 65 seats needed for a majority in the 129-member Scottish parliament, probably needing a coalition with the independence-backing Scottish Greens. Labour is tied for second place with Reform and the Greens in most polling and predicted to lose five of its MSPs.
In elections to the Welsh Senedd, Labour is on course to lose power to Plaid Cymru and record its worst ever result. Peril for Starmer could come if the Welsh first minister, Eluned Morgan, who may lose her seat, calls for him to quit on the back of the election, following Scottish Labour’s Anas Sarwar who did so in February.
MPs hoping to see a change of leadership believe that regional mayors and council leaders – among them Greater Manchester’s Andy Burnham and even the mayor of London, Sadiq Khan – may join calls for a change of prime minister. Allies of the mayors said an immediate call for resignation was unlikely.
But Starmer’s position may be safeguarded by leftwing MPs who want to see Burnham return to the Commons before a challenge. Other potential leadership contenders – Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner – are said to be unwilling to be the first to challenge Starmer.
Starmer is said to be weighing up setting out the next step in the government’s direction before the king’s speech next Wednesday. Over the coming days, MPs from across the party will hope to shape the narrative for the coming months, with some expected to call for a more radical economic vision.
On Tuesday, MPs from the centrist Labour Growth Group will launch a report, An Honest Day – A New Economic Settlement for Britain, calling for stronger government action on living standards and housing, as well as proposals on regulation, investment and state capacity.
Public research for the report will show that high numbers of those leaving Labour for the Greens and Reform favour a more radical approach to what they view as deeper structural problems than the government has identified.
“The message tomorrow will be the same one the country has been sending for years,” a source from the group said. “People keep working harder for less, watching the basics of a decent life slip out of reach and thinking ‘this system isn’t built for me’. The scale of the results will show how impatient voters are now.
“The question afterwards is whether we are finally prepared to face up to it and confront what’s gone wrong. If we aren’t, we will lose this country to the populists for a generation.”
UK News
Tame the water or let it flow? New Zealand grapples with how to protect its braided rivers | New Zealand
When British settlers started building Christchurch city 170 years ago, they largely ignored the nearby Waimakariri River, which twists from the South Island’s alps towards the eastern shore.
But rain and glacial shifts compelled the braided river – a globally rare form of river with many woven channels – to take on a new shape, occasionally flooding land and depositing tonnes of shingle in its wake.
By the 1920s, the Waimakariri was described as a “flood menace” in a report to authorities, one that showed a “deficiency of nature, which must be made good by the art of man”.
With that, the river was brought into submission, slowly hemmed in with stopbanks, exotic tree planting and gravel extraction. Now it requires endless maintenance to tame the river and prevent the risks of flooding to homes, infrastructure and the nearby airport.
“People say you shouldn’t be interfering with the river; the outcome if we don’t is worse,” Fred Brooks, a river engineer with the local regional council, Environment Canterbury, says.
“It has been intervened in so much at this point, you have to keep intervening.”
The Waimakariri is one of about 150 braided rivers across New Zealand, 60% of which are concentrated in the South Island’s Canterbury region. The unique river systems are found in just a handful of other places around the world, including Alaska, Canada and the Himalayas.
These systems face – and also pose – a complex set of challenges. They have been disrupted to make room for farming and allow communities to develop, but those changes are damaging ecosystems and species, affecting water quality and exposing communities to flood risk.
Concerns are growing over the future and resilience of braided rivers, prompting questions over how the country can live alongside them while preventing their further decline.
“Braided rivers are iconic – we use their iconography all over the place,” says Jo Hoyle, a river geomorphologist at Earth Sciences New Zealand. “And yet, are we really looking after them?”
Changing the course
Unlike single-channel rivers, braided rivers are dynamic. They begin in alpine ranges, rushing down slopes towards the plains, where they carry gravel and carve out channels that split, weave and fan out into numerous strands. A braided river may forge out new channels across wide areas, while retreating from existing paths. A large dumping of rain might compel the river to return to its former ground.
Over time, Canterbury’s braided rivers have been deliberately narrowed. Their gravel beds have been gouged out for flood protection and to build roads, and water has been taken to feed intensive dairy farming.
In the Waimakariri, diggers and trucks extract gravel most days to stop the river breaching the stopbanks and flooding tens of thousands of homes.
Due to the interventions, the Waimakariri may struggle to return to its natural state. But for the region’s many other rivers, a question looms: should the rivers be given more room to flow naturally?
“It’s not an easy question to answer,” Hoyle says, as she wades through a small channel on the edges of the Rakaia – a large braided river, south of Christchurch.
“It’s not a feasible concept to just let rivers roam – so what we are asking is: how much room do these rivers actually need to be a river, to support ecological life and have enough room to flood without causing too much damage?”
When the river changes course, it leaves behind valuable land, which landowners quickly take over, a process known as agricultural encroachment. If the river tries to move back, the landowner might put in protection to stop it.
“And it will happen on the other side of the river, so there is this ratcheting in, and the river becomes narrower and narrower,” Hoyle says.
A study of nine of Canterbury’s rivers showed they had narrowed by 50% on average, and more than 90% in some segments.
Landowners are legally allowed to move in on braided riverbeds when the water retreats, but scientists and river advocates want that changed.
Deliberate narrowing is a problem for species, and it is setting people up for disaster from flooding, Hoyle says, adding that managed retreat should be explored.
“The land on either side is really valuable day-to-day, but it is really vulnerable to big floods,” she says.
‘You don’t even see fish’
Problems beneath the surface of braided rivers are also emerging, as communities report plummeting fish populations and pollution in their nets.
Rakaia River has built a reputation around its salmon fishing, so much so that an 11-meter-high statue of a salmon has become a town landmark. This year, the annual salmon fishing competition went ahead with a surprising caveat: no fishing allowed.
“There are less and less fish,” Chris Agnew, the competition’s president, tells the Guardian, steering his jet boat up the river mouth, while shags, silhouetted against the golden sky, crisscross above.
According to Fish & Game, there were just 608 salmon in the Rakaia during the 2024-25 season. In 1996, they counted more than 20,000.
Scientists are still trying to understand the population slumps, but there are theories: warming oceans and changes to the river, including sediment buildup, pollution and altered water flow, could be affecting breeding habits and behaviour.
River birds are also declining, says Frances Schmechel, biodiversity manager at Environment Canterbury. Introduced weeds create cover for predators, while exotic willow trees, which were planted to prevent riverbanks from eroding, are now “exploding” in some areas. Their dense root systems stop rivers from flowing and behaving naturally.
Stokell’s smelt, a tiny, once-abundant native fish, is now classified as nationally critical.
Bruce Kelly, a local angler has fished the Rakaia for 40 years. “At least before when you didn’t catch a fish, you would see a couple. Now you don’t even see them.”
Agnew worries about the community’s identity. As for the famous salmon statue: “Maybe it will become a monument to the past,” he says.
Braided rivers ‘fundamental’ to tribes
There are also deep concerns about the water quality of New Zealand’s rivers. Environment Canterbury found nearly a third of Canterbury’s lakes and rivers – especially near urban and agricultural areas – were deemed unsafe to swim in due to E coli and pathogens in 2025.
The decades-long decline of rivers and fresh water compelled South Island iwi (tribe) Ngāi Tahu to take a landmark case against the Crown in 2017, seeking to have their rangatiratanga – governing authority and self-determination – recognised over South Island’s waterways. A high court decision is imminent.
“Braided rivers are fundamental to how we exist as a tribe,” says Gabrielle Huria, the chief executive of Ngāi Tahu’s freshwater strategy, adding the tribe has watched the rivers change with horror.
The tribe have long practised traditional food gathering along braided rivers. But Huria, like others, stopped when she discovered cow faeces in her fishing nets.
Managing rivers requires a rethink, Huria says, calling for a system that supports public health, river quality and business, while preventing further encroachment.
“We have a saying: ‘the river goes where it will’. We need to be a lot smarter.”
The minister for resource management, Chris Bishop, told the Guardian he was looking forward to seeing a select committee’s recommendations on the law allowing landowners to move in on riverbeds, while the minister for conservation, Tama Potaka, said the government was “committed to protecting and restoring” braided rivers.
Back at the Rakaia, Hoyle turns a river stone over in her hand. For years she has paid close attention to the rivers, but she fears the community has become detached from their plight.
“Having those discussions … around how we want to live alongside our rivers needs to happen,” she says. “The only way we will get change is making the community more aware of what the risks are and what we stand to lose.”
UK News
Drivers 'chucking stuff out of windows' blamed as litter on 99% of main roads
Sweet wrappers, drinks containers and fast-food packaging were the most common items, campaigners said.
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UK News
Andrew Tate's civil rape trial will be heard 'as soon as possible', judge says
The civil case was adjourned on Wednesday after police reopened a criminal investigation into Tate.
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