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‘Historic breakthrough’: Colombia climate talks end with hopes raised for fossil fuel phaseout | Climate crisis

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Governments have been asked to develop national “roadmaps” setting out how they will end the production and use of fossil fuels, after a landmark climate meeting involving nearly 60 countries.

The voluntary plans will form the bedrock of a new initiative to wean the world off coal, oil and gas, the focus of two days of intensive talks in Colombia this week.

The approach marks a departure from the annual UN climate negotiations, which have run for more than three decades even as greenhouse gas emissions have continued to rise. Most of the world’s biggest emitters are absent from the group of 59 signatories, though other countries are being invited to join.

Irene Vélez Torres, Colombia’s environment minister and chair of the talks, said: “We decided not to resign ourselves to an economy built on the destruction of life. We decided that the transition away from fossil fuels could no longer remain a slogan but must become a concrete, political and collective endeavour.

Joseph Sikulu, an activist from Tuvalu, talks to reporters. A second conference will take place early next year on the Pacific island. Photograph: Iván Valencia/AP

“When people look back on us from the future, they will not remember only this conference. They will remember whether or not we rose to the challenge of our time.”

Colombia and the Netherlands, co-hosts of the inaugural conference on transitioning away from fossil fuels, convened discussions on trade, debt, producer countries’ dependence on fossil fuel exports and ways to reduce demand. In the preceding days, activists, Indigenous leaders, scientists and other experts gathered in Santa Marta to discuss the social and economic impacts of fossil fuels and ways to curb demand.

With the US, China, India, Russia and petrostates such as Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates absent, attendance was limited to countries willing to commit to a phaseout. This “coalition of the willing” represents more than half of global GDP, nearly a third of energy demand and a fifth of fossil fuel supply.

An oil pump works at sunset in Sakhir, Bahrain. Several petrostates were absent from the conference. Photograph: Hasan Jamali/AP

Almost half of the countries are fossil fuel producers, and will be expected to set out how they intend to wind down output. However, there are no stipulations on how the plans should be structured, nor deadlines for completing the transition.

Colombia published a draft roadmap during the conference and set up a scientific panel to advise countries. On Tuesday, France became the first developed country to release a national roadmap to phase out fossil fuels.

Stientje van Veldhoven, the Netherlands’ minister for climate and green growth, told the Guardian: “We see the roadmaps as the tool for the ambition with which they came here [to transition away from fossil fuels]. There will be different speeds between countries – we should allow for this and acknowledge that countries start from a different position, have different challenges, so that it cannot be one size fits all.”

While countries already publish climate plans under the Paris agreement, known as nationally determined contributions (NDCs), Vélez said these were not sufficient to serve as roadmaps because they addressed only countries’ domestic greenhouse gas emissions, allowing fossil fuel producers to sidestep the climate impact of their exports.

Hurricane devastation in Roseau, Dominica. Many small island states are on the frontline of the climate crisis despite despite contributing negligible amounts of greenhouse gases. Photograph: Cedrick Isham Calvados/AFP/Getty Images

Participants also agreed to support poorer countries with the expertise needed to develop roadmaps, to scrutinise fossil fuel subsidies, and to collaborate on trade policy and financial reform – including helping poor and vulnerable countries tackle debt and raising the finance needed to make the transition.

A second conference will take place early next year on the Pacific island of Tuvalu, co-hosted by Ireland. Tuvalu’s minister for home affairs, climate and environment, Maina Talia, said: “We are encouraging governments and states [to draft roadmaps before the next conference], because if they come without concrete roadmaps, we are losing an opportunity. But, at the end of the day, they are voluntary.”

The Santa Marta conference was prompted by frustration with the UN climate summits, where consensus rules have often allowed fossil fuel interests to block direct discussion of the need to phase out coal, oil and gas. However, participating governments have said they will work closely within the UN system to help bring about global progress on the climate at the Cop31 UN climate conference in November.

Tzeporah Berman, a Canadian environmental activist, says: ‘Santa Marta represents a historic breakthrough.’ Photograph: Igor Kovalenko/EPA

Tzeporah Berman, the founder and chair of the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative, said: “Santa Marta represents a historic breakthrough – the first time we bring together a group of nations willing to act. We are building a coalition of ambitious countries willing to lead and break the consensus deadlock that has paralysed concrete action on fossil fuels in the UN negotiations.”

Participants praised the constructive nature of the Santa Marta talks. Fatima Eisam-Eldeen, of the Leave It in the Ground Initiative, said: “For too long, multilateral climate forums have felt like rooms where everyone speaks, but no one understands. Santa Marta broke that pattern. It spoke the language of hope.”

Kirtana Chandrasekaran, a climate justice and energy programme co-coordinator at Friends of the Earth International, called for governments to replace fossil fuels with renewable energy, given added impetus by the current oil crisis.

“[Avoiding climate breakdown] requires systemic change to the current energy model – away from fossil fuelled corporate dominance and towards bottom-up, decentralised renewables that ensure energy sovereignty for all,” she said.



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Statue with Bansky's signature appears in London

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A sculpture of a man marching off a plinth in St James’s appears to bear the artist’s name.



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Local election campaigning enters final week as forecaster warns Labour could lose 1,850 English seats –UK politics live | Politics

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Good morning. We are now into the final week of campaigning for the Scottish parliament, Welsh Senedd and English local elections. Keir Starmer had been planning a big speech today, but he, and other political leaders, are today focusing on their response to the Golders Green stabbing and the antisemitism threat facing Britain’s Jewish community – described as a “national security emergency” by Jonathan Hall KC, the government’s independent reviewer of terror legislation. Here is our overnight story. And here is our live blog by Taz Ali.

Taz will be covering most of the political reaction to that story, and so that won’t be something I will be covering here. (And because criminal proceedings are active, comments relating to the attack won’t be allowed below the line, I’m afraid.)

Instead, let’s start with the elections, and a member of the House of Lords called Robert Hayward. Hayward is a Conservative and former MP but at Westminster he is best known as an elections specialist who produces detailed forecasts ahead of elections. They are not always perfect – no forecast is – but they are well-informed, and politically neutral, and Hayward is one of the very few people doing forecasting of this kind whose views are taken seriously by the main political parties. He won’t necessarily tell you exactly what will happen; but he is worth reading if you want to know what the politicos expect to happen (which is useful intelligence because often election results are assessed by how they match up against expectations).

Last night Hayward revealed his forecast on ITV’s Peston.

Robert Hayward’s forecast for English local elections Photograph: ITV’s Peston

And this is how Hayward explains it in his summary.

double quotation markEngland all figures given are net losses and gains

Labour will lose 1850 seats

The losses will be nationwide

What impact on Sir Keir’s role? Given S Times comment re 1500 losses and ‘nervous breakdown’ this is bad news for Sir Keir and Labour.

Reform will be biggest gainer from both Labour and Conservatives, overwhelmingly outside London. They will gain 1550 seats

Will their national equivalent vote be lower than last year? I believe it will be

Conservatives will lose 600 seats many in councils deferred from last year. These seats were previously contested in the vaccine bounce year of 2021.

Do they gain any notable councils or stop Reform from taking control of target councils? Yes

Have they improved on the national equivalent vote last year? About static

Greens will gain 500 seats in London and middle class areas of other cities

Can they take any mayoralties or control any councils? Yes definitely mayoralty possibly a council or two

Lib Dems will gain 150 seats but will need to gain councils to be involved ‘in the conversation’.

Will national equivalent vote share reflect decline in poll position. Yes

Have they lost their position as part of the protest parties? Up to a point.

Independents will gain 250 seats

Many of these will be in east London, Birmingham and Lancs

Other forecasts are available too. I will post more on those soon.

Parliament is not sitting today, and there is not much in the diary. But we won’t be short of politics.

If you want to contact me, please post a message below the line when comments are open (between 10am and 3pm), or message me on social media. I can’t read all the messages BTL, but if you put “Andrew” in a message aimed at me, I am more likely to see it because I search for posts containing that word.

If you want to flag something up urgently, it is best to use social media. You can reach me on Bluesky at @andrewsparrowgdn.bsky.social. The Guardian has given up posting from its official accounts on X, but individual Guardian journalists are there, I still have my account, and if you message me there at @AndrewSparrow, I will see it and respond if necessary.

I find it very helpful when readers point out mistakes, even minor typos. No error is too small to correct. And I find your questions very interesting too. I can’t promise to reply to them all, but I will try to reply to as many as I can, either BTL or sometimes in the blog.

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