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Gray whales, once rare in San Francisco Bay, dying there at alarming rates | California
Gray whales have historically been a rare sight in the San Francisco Bay. They trek from the warm lagoons of Mexico’s Baja California over 10,000 miles north to the Arctic region to feast on shrimp-like animals during the summers, seldom stopping in the busy shipping corridor for prolonged periods.
But in recent years, that story has changed in a dire way. A new study, published this week in the journal Frontiers in Marine Science, has found that gray whales in the Bay have been dying at alarming rates, largely due to collisions with vessels.
Eastern North Pacific (ENP) gray whales began to show up with more frequency in the well-trafficked maritime core around 2018. According to researchers, at least 18% of gray whales that entered the Bay between 2018 and 2025 have died. They determined that for over 40% of the whale carcasses, the cause of death was blunt force trauma consistent with vessel strikes, prompting calls for renewed efforts to help avoid more fatal collisions.
“It was historically very unusual for them to enter the Bay, especially for longer amounts of time or consistently year after year,” said Josie Slaathaug, lead author of the study.
There are whale subgroups known to hunt for food south of the Arctic, but a majority of the recently spotted whales feeding in the Bay were not a part of these foraging clusters.
A wave of new whale presence had not been observed in the waters since the late 1990s, according to Slaathaug. Then and now, researchers have theorized that Arctic warming is disrupting food availability for the whales, driving them to hunt in new places such as the Bay, although it remains unclear what exactly they may be eating there.
Their potential new feeding corner, though, is a major shipping route.
The true mortality rate for whales in the Bay may be higher, hovering somewhere between 40 and 50%, Slaathaug said. It was difficult to match photographs of living whales to dead animals, due to skin decay or lost carcasses, she said.
In recent years, there have been several reports of dead whales that wash up on Bay Area beaches. The ENP gray whale population has been in decline due to malnutrition and starvation from climate-driven prey shifts in the Arctic, according to Slaathaug. The Southwest Fisheries Science Center estimated a population total around 13,000 whales, its lowest count since 1970.
“It’s not unique to their migratory corridor that a lot of whales are dying,” Slaathaug said. “What is unique about San Francisco Bay and this study was that there was such a clear emerging cause of death.”
Some local efforts are under way to reduce vessel collisions.
The Marine Mammal Center, which is affiliated with the study, has developed a program called Whale Smart, to educate vessel operators in the San Francisco Bay on how to interpret whale behavior to avoid close encounters.
In Alaska, where vessels also pose a threat to the whale population, one fleet company partnered with WhaleSpotter, a company that uses AI and thermal imaging to detect the presence of whales, so they can change course well in advance.
Last year, the Center for Biological Diversity, a conservation group, sued the US Coast Guard, which regulates vessel traffic off the California coast, for failing to analyze how vessel routes may harm whales and sea turtles.
“This most recent study about the gray whales reaffirms that we have way underestimated the problem and we are not managing human activities well enough to avoid the whales,” said Catherine Kilduff, senior attorney at the center.
Federal action is needed to reduce the fatal collisions, Kilduff said.
Per the Endangered Species Act, she said, the US Coast Guard should be consulting with the National Marine Fisheries Service, the government agency tasked with protecting the nation’s ocean life and their habitats, when setting shipping lanes to assess impact to marine wildlife, according to Kilduff.
The Coast Guard did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the study’s findings.
Kilduff also suggested mandatory speed limits for vessels. “There are voluntary speed reductions on the west coast, but there is evidence that those aren’t effective. The compliance rate isn’t high enough,” she said.
A 2022 study co-authored by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration found that the average speeds of large vessels had decreased between 2010 and 2019 in voluntary speed reduction zones. But, researchers determined that the cooperation rate of roughly 50% was lower than the amount needed to reduce vessel-strike related mortality to a level that maintains a sustainable whale populations.
“These whales are using the oceans in such a sophisticated way. We can learn so much from them, and if we can figure out ways to avoid killing them, I know that they’ll come back to healthy population levels,” Kilduff said.
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Starmer was kept in dark about Mandelson’s vetting by two other top civil servants | Peter Mandelson
Keir Starmer was kept in the dark about sensitive information relating to Peter Mandelson’s security vetting by two other top civil servants, including the head of the civil service, the Guardian can reveal.
The prime minister said on Friday that it was “unforgivable” and “staggering” that senior officials did not tell him that Mandelson failed a security vetting process weeks before he took up his role as ambassador to Washington.
Olly Robbins was forced out of his job as permanent secretary of the Foreign Office on Thursday after it was revealed his department granted Mandelson developed vetting clearance against the advice of the relevant agency.
Now the Guardian can reveal that two other top civil servants, including the cabinet secretary, Antonia Romeo, failed to immediately notify him when they discovered that UK Security Vetting (UKSV) had advised that Mandelson should be denied clearance.
Downing Street has said Starmer did not find out about the vetting failure, which occurred in January 2025, until Tuesday this week. However, the Guardian has established that both Romeo, the government’s most senior civil servant, and Catherine Little, the Cabinet Office’s permanent secretary, have been aware since March.
Their delay in informing the prime minister will fuel concern about whether his government is being run by mandarins rather than ministers.
Romeo, who was appointed by Starmer in February, was told about the failure by Little in March. Little is the top civil servant at the Cabinet Office, which UKSV is part of. Her department has also been overseeing the process of complying with a “humble address”, parliamentary motion that ordered the government to release “all papers” relevant to Mandelson’s appointment.
The motion made an exception for papers prejudicial to national security or international relations, which it said should be released to the intelligence and security committee (ISC).
A government source insisted Little “did not sit on the information” but was involved in a complex process and was trying to establish the risks in sharing highly sensitive information, including with the prime minister. The source added that Little informed Romeo of her plan to establish those risks. Romeo, the government source said, was supportive of the plan.
That process appears to have taken weeks, with as many as a dozen officials and lawyers aware of Mandelson’s vetting failure. Starmer’s statement would suggest he was not formally notified by any of them until a few days ago.
At the centre of the controversy was an extraordinary summary document produced by UKSV on 28 January last year, weeks after Starmer had announced Mandelson would be his ambassador to Washington.
The document identified highly sensitive concerns UKSV had about Mandelson and recommended, in conclusion, that he should not be given security clearance. It was that recommendation that was overruled by the Foreign Office.
A Cabinet Office spokesperson said that, after receiving the UKSV document after the humble address, Little “immediately undertook a series of expedited checks in order to be in a sound position to share the document, or the fact of it”.
The spokesperson said this included receipt of legal advice about what could be shared in the context of the humble address and consideration of whether the information would prejudice criminal proceedings.
Little also sought information from the Foreign Office about “the process they had followed” when deciding to give Mandelson security clearance against the advice of UKSV, the spokesperson said. They added: “As soon as these checks were conducted, the prime minister was informed.”
According to a government source, Little had always been of the view that the outcome of the UKSV process should be made public, and the relevant document disclosed in unredacted form to the ISC. However, officials in her department have in recent weeks been divided over how to proceed and whether to release the document to the committee at all.
Prior to the publication of the Guardian’s story on Thursday, there was said to have been “no consensus” among officials. Some flagged national security concerns and argued it would be “unprecedented” to disclose the UKSV file, even to the ISC, a committee comprising nine MPs and peers, including Jeremy Wright, a former attorney general, and Alan West, a retired Royal Navy admiral.
Its members are sworn to secrecy under the Official Secrets Act and are given access to highly classified material. According to one source familiar with debates swirling in Little’s department, there were fears among at least some officials that there might be an attempted “cover-up” and the document would never see the light of day.
Some officials noted that the UKSV document appeared to contradict statements made by the prime minister and his former chief of staff, Morgan McSweeney, that implied vetting failures could partly be blamed for Mandelson’s appointment.
Amid an impasse among officials, some in government are said to have argued that precedent should be set aside to disclose the UKSV documents to the committee, and tjat anything short of that would risk breaching the wishes of parliament.
The discussion about whether or not to release the documents to the parliamentary committee appears to have lasted for weeks. If Downing Street’s chronology is to be believed, the prime minister was completely oblivious that it was even happening.
By Wednesday this week, one compromise option being considered involved providing unredacted versions of the document only to two ISC members, such as the chair and one other member. Another was only showing the documents to those members of the committee who are also members of the privy council, a historical body that advises the monarch.
One source said Little is now expected to be asked to appear before the ISC in a closed hearing to answer questions about the affair. Lord Beamish, who chairs the ISC, has said that his committee and parliament would take a “very dim view” if documents were withheld from its members.
A Cabinet Office spokesperson said Little and officials working on the humble address “have always worked on the basis of being transparent about the UK Security Vetting recommendation”.
Neither the Cabinet Office nor No 10 have disputed, however, that there has been an internal debate over whether the materials could be withheld. That raises questions about the accuracy of public remarks on Friday by the chief secretary to the prime minister, Darren Jones.
A close ally of Starmer, Jones was asked on the BBC’s Today programme to comment on the Guardian’s report that “officials have toyed with the idea at least of not revealing all of this to parliament”.
He replied: “That’s not true. All of these documents are going through what’s called the humble address process, which my department is responsible for.”
Asked if he had misled the public, a source close to Jones insisted that his answer was “clearly focused on the official government response to the humble address, which he makes clear later in his answer.”
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